A manual will only deter your small time criminals who just take what he/she can get. These guys won't really go after a new BMWs(in the US) since all BMWs here have encrypted keyless ignition.
Anyone who aims to steal cars, especially BMWs, will know how to drive a manual. If you're in a big metro like NYC area, don't count on manuals deterring them. They are pros stealing specific vehicles for the chop shops.
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