Quote:
Originally Posted by Efthreeoh
The problem with EV is the cost of manufacturing the battery. The $/kWh has come down the cost curve and started to flatten out at $150/kWh. To get 300+miles of range requires a 75kWh battery. Either the next new tech has to double in energy density, or the cost has to be cut in half from today's level. That's not going to happen in 12 years, if ever.
To add to EV cost eventually will be owner responsibility for battery recycling. Governments are going to figure out the cost of toxic-free battery recycling and pass it on to the consumer either at the front end of ownership or at the back end. Putting it on the back end will kill the EV used car market, so the battery recycling cost will be built into the sale price (probably as a tax).
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Atm, batteries are UNLIKELY to become more efficient. These solid state battery announcements so far are nothing but hype. Teslas solution to more range is making the battery bigger. That's it. Otherwise efficiency hasn't changed and has peaked already. For centuries now battery technology has only gotten us to this point. It's difficult. That's why a hydrogen electric solution is far better especially those without a driveway/garage/home